The hottest prediction is that there will be many

  • Detail

It is predicted that there will be many bright spots in the solar energy industry in 2013

under the background of the slowdown of global economic growth, overcapacity, price decline, trade war disruption and the photovoltaic market in 2012 go hand in hand, and gloom has become the main color of the solar photovoltaic market this year. However, dark clouds cannot hide the sun. Many research institutions predict that there will be many bright spots in the solar energy industry in 2013

ashsharma, head of solar energy research at IHS, a market research institution, said when evaluating the solar energy market in 2012: "The photovoltaic industry is going through a painful period. The next milestone will be the reduction of government subsidies for the 25m fan blades that are about to start production. On the other hand, the continuous decline of product prices has hurt the global solar cell suppliers. At the same time, the trade disputes between the major trading partners of the solar industry are also shaking. Next, Haida editor will explain in detail why a lot of materials need universal capital The reason why the material testing machine stopped testing industry. The global economic downturn is an indisputable environment. " But he also pointed out some bright spots that are likely to appear in the solar photovoltaic industry in 2013. He said, "the installation of photovoltaic power stations is increasing, and technological innovation is constantly improving the solar energy conversion rate. The growth of installation in the solar energy market from China and the United States will offset the vacancy in the weak European market affected by the European debt crisis."

recently, IHS released its top ten forecasts for the solar energy market in 2013, which are excerpted as follows:

1. The installation volume of the global solar photovoltaic market will increase by double digits in 2013, but the annual revenue of the industry will continue to decline, from the estimated $77billion in 2012 to $75billion. The industry revenue also reached a peak of $94billion when the installation volume reached its peak in 2011. The decrease in installation volume and the decline in system price are the main reasons for the continued decline in revenue of the solar photovoltaic industry

2. The trend of industry restructuring will continue in 2013. According to IHS, by the end of 2012, less than 150 companies remained in the upstream of the photovoltaic industry worldwide, compared with more than 750 in 2010. Reorganization and merger will allow many companies to completely withdraw from the market. Some stores of some upstream and downstream integrated companies will also be unsustainable. The current situation is that the investment in the construction and operation of large-scale solar energy companies integrating upstream and downstream is relatively high, and the utilization rate of many large-scale solar photovoltaic projects is not as high as expected, which makes further investment more difficult

3. The price of photovoltaic modules will stabilize and recover in the second half of 2013, when Hyundai concept car will give full play to the advantages of plastic materials, and the oversupply situation will also end. Although the price of crystalline silicon has shown a downward trend since March 2011, the price of solar cells will reach a stable state in the middle of 2013. The dynamic changes in the market will help supply and demand to achieve a global balance

4. Although there are few winners, the solar energy trade war will continue in 2013. In November, 2012, there were six lawsuits related to solar energy trade, which involved China, Europe, the United States and India. IHS said that this cycle of sanctions and retaliation could not fundamentally solve the overcapacity problem that plagued the global photovoltaic industry

5. South Africa and Romania will become emerging photovoltaic markets in 2013. At present, the installation of solar energy in these two countries is very small, but the planned installation next year is hundreds of megawatts. The reasons for the growth of solar energy in these two countries are completely different. The photovoltaic growth in South Africa is mainly due to the bidding in 2012; In Romania, the main driving force for growth came from a program called "green certificate"

6. In 2013, the European photovoltaic market may still achieve the return rate of two figures in this study. At present, the subsidy plans of EU countries are still valid, so EU countries continue to offer attractive conditions to obtain a considerable return on both private capital and institutional investment. At the same time, without incentives, Europe, the most mature market for solar PV, is still striving to achieve parity

7. The amount of solar energy installed in the United States will exceed that of wind power. 2013 will be an important milestone, which will witness the installation of solar PV in the United States surpassing wind power for the first time. This is mainly due to the uncertainty of the recent tax relief policy for wind power production subsidies in the United States. However, this also reflects the enhanced competitiveness of solar photovoltaic as a renewable energy in the U.S. new energy market

8. China will become the world's largest solar photovoltaic market. China's total installed capacity in 2013 will exceed 6 GW, surpassing Germany as the largest market for solar PV

9. Energy storage will change the face of the solar industry. The increase in battery usage will become a powerful supplement to photovoltaic. People can use solar energy for a longer time. For example, at night, they can also use the electricity generated by solar photovoltaic power stations during the day to avoid buying electricity at a high price. IHS predicts that the number of civil solar photovoltaic installations equipped with batteries will increase significantly next year

10. New technology will make life easier for equipment suppliers. Technological innovation will enable photovoltaic manufacturers to reduce costs, increase revenue, and finally stand out in the competition. This is an opportunity for commodity manufacturers and suppliers to create a source of income

recently, Forbes also invited industry experts to predict the development of the global solar energy market in 2013. Rob wilder, chairman of wilderhill clean energy index (ECO), a leading organization in the United States that began to track the clean energy industry index, proposed that the cost of solar hardware, from polysilicon to solar panels, would drop significantly in 2013, but the cost of solar control systems, installation access and other "software" would still limit the overall cost decline of the solar industry. He also pointed out that the acceleration of industry integration and the increase of subsidies for the solar energy industry in some countries will lead to the emergence of megawatt growth

Rafael Cowen, executive director of American Clean Technology Group, believes that the restructuring of the solar photovoltaic industry in 2013 will continue. He said, "there are too many businesses in the current depressed industry of solar photovoltaic power generation, and integration and merger are imperative." He also predicted that the subsidy for residential solar photovoltaic power generation in the United States will be reduced, which reflects the "rational return" of the solar photovoltaic market. Zhonghua glass () Department

Copyright © 2011 JIN SHI